Graywing

8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 65

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.7

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-28	Saratoga	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-07-17	Saratoga	?	8th	6th	+2	4.4
2026-06-27	Belmont At The Big A	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-07	Saratoga	?	11th	10th	+1	1.0
2026-05-16	Belmont At The Big A	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-08	Belmont At The Big A	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▲

Strength25%

Delivery trend +7.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/03/2026	5th	6/5	94%	33%	-0.60
11/04/2026	1st	2/1	89%	100%	+0.11
25/04/2026	9th	7/4	91%	0%	-0.91
08/05/2026	3rd	14/1	26%	67%	+0.40
16/05/2026	7th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26
07/06/2026	11th	50/1	0%	0%	0.00
27/06/2026	5th	9/1	53%	43%	-0.10
17/07/2026	8th	50/1	0%	0%	0.00
28/08/2026	6th	40/1	0%	29%	+0.29