2

Neuschwanstein
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 76
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength8%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 17/04/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 13/06/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/06/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 17/07/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |