Uncle Jim
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |