4

Captain G

2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 71

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1239/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 16/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 65 par16/08C6OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Saratoga?8th8th0
2026-07-09Saratoga?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend +21.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20265th8/158%43%-0.15
16/08/20268th16/116%22%+0.06