9
Jersey Guy
2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -43.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |