10

Captain George

2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 87

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 1236/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Saratoga?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33