7

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2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 78

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 12315/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Saratoga?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20264th12/137%63%+0.26