16
Tinian
2yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +15.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |