Chips And Fish
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 1st | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |