Kaz Oil Changer
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |