4
Majestic Arc
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 73
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |