Mike's Magic
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 69
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |