1

Rule Sixty Two

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 79

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS12/07C6C5 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 90 par30/08C5OR 90C5 @ Keeneland 09/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 93 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 93 par9/10C5OR 93C8 @ Aqueduct 18/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 89 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 89 par18/01C8OR 89C8 @ Aqueduct 21/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 6f 123 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 85 par21/02C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-21Aqueduct?5th5th0
2026-01-18Aqueduct?4th4th0
2025-10-09Keeneland?8th5th+3
2025-08-30Colonial Downs?3rd0th+3
2025-07-12Colonial Downs?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0730/089/1018/0121/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
30/08/20253rd10/382%60%-0.22
09/10/20258th33/10%30%+0.30
18/01/20264th11/486%0%-0.86
21/02/20265th5/174%20%-0.54