Special Ops
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 21/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |