8
Strategicoperation
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |