Supreme Good
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 76
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | Remington Park | ? | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -21.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 21/12/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 10% | -0.53 |