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Chief Wallabee

3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 106

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 10/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Fas 12210/01C6C0 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 104 par28/02C?OR 104C0 @ Gulfstream 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 105 · 1m1f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 105 par28/03C?OR 105C0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 102 · 1m2f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 102 par2/05C?OR 102C0 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 103 · 1m2f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 103 par6/06C?OR 103BHA107 @ Saratoga 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 107 · 1m1f Fas 120 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 107 par2/08107OR 107projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02SaratogaBHA1072nd9th−6
2026-06-06Saratoga?4th-2th+5
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?4th-2th+5
2026-03-28Gulfstream?3rd-3th+5
2026-02-28Gulfstream?2nd-3th+5
2026-01-10Gulfstream?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0128/0228/032/056/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength74%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
28/02/20262nd5/287%88%+0.01
28/03/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
02/05/20264th11/271%82%+0.11
06/06/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
02/08/20262nd4/596%83%-0.12