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5

Cocktailsnkringle

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 95

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 86 · 1m 120 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 86 par12/12C8OR 86C8 @ Aqueduct 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Aqueduct 15/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 86 par15/02C8OR 86C7 @ Aqueduct 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 90 · 1m 123 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Aqueduct 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 90 par4/04C7OR 90C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 94 · 1m 126 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 94 par4/06C7OR 94C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 96 · 7f 126 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 96 parC5 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m 126 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 95 par22/08C5OR 95projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-06-26Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd−2
2026-06-04Saratoga?2nd4th−2
2026-05-01Belmont At The Big A?2nd4th−2
2026-04-04Aqueduct?4th6th−2
2026-03-19Aqueduct?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1219/034/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
16/01/20264th9/276%25%-0.51
15/02/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
19/03/20263rd11/271%33%-0.38
04/04/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
01/05/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
04/06/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
26/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
22/08/20266th13/266%29%-0.37