3

Enforced Agenda

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 97

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 23/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m 11923/11C6C5 @ Aqueduct 03/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 96 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 96 par3/01C5OR 96C5 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 97 · 1m 121 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 97 par22/08C5OR 97projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-01-03Aqueduct?3rd2nd+1
2025-11-23Aqueduct?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/113/0122/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -39.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
03/01/20263rd11/486%33%-0.52
22/08/20265th10/147%43%-0.05