4
Envision
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |