2
Gulfy
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 95
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | BHA95 | 3rd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 31/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |