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11

Highway Harmony

6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 94

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Floral Park Stakes · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark20/10/2024 · OR 97 par20/10C5OR 97C8 @ Gulfstream 19/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark19/12/2024 · OR 90 parC8 @ Gulfstream 09/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark09/11/2025 · OR 90 par9/11C8OR 90C8 @ Gulfstream 11/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Gulfstream 02/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 89 par2/01C8OR 89C8 @ Gulfstream 01/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 7f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Aqueduct 16/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 91 · 6f Fm 126 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 91 par16/04C5OR 91C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Fm 124 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 96 parC6 @ Saratoga 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 96 · 5f110y Gd 126 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 96 par13/08C6OR 96projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Saratoga?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?1st1st0
2026-04-16Aqueduct?1st2nd−1
2026-02-01Gulfstream?1st5th−3
2026-01-02Gulfstream?1st5th−3
2025-12-11Gulfstream?4th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1011/1216/0413/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20245th20/10%56%+0.56
19/12/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
09/11/20256th6/168%38%-0.31
11/12/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
02/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
01/02/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
16/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
28/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
13/08/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04