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9

Tabiti

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 103

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Floral Park Stakes · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼4
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today:
Class gap: +3.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 10/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0821 @ Salisbury 13/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0911 @ Newmarket 11/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 101 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2024 · OR 101 par11/101OR 1012 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 25 · OR 101 · 1m GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 101 par20/062OR 1011 @ Goodwood 30/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 104 · 7f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 104 par30/071OR 104C0 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 104 · 6f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 104 par6/09C?OR 104C0 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 113 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 113 par24/10C?OR 113projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-24Keeneland?5th0th+4
2025-09-06Kentucky Downs?3rd-2th+4
2025-07-30Goodwood11st-4th+4
2025-06-20Royal Ascot23rd0th+3
2024-10-11Newmarket15th0th+4
2024-09-13Salisbury11st-4th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0820/0624/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20241st9/591%100%+0.09
13/09/20241st11/486%100%+0.14
11/10/20245th11/271%33%-0.38
20/06/20253rd18/15%92%+0.86
30/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
06/09/20253rd9/488%82%-0.06
24/10/20255th9/488%64%-0.25