9

Nagoya Mesloise

3yo Filly · 9-2

Cabourg · Prix De Glanville - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1284/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?0
2026-08-13Enghien4+1
2026-08-04Cabourg?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92