11
Nanaland
3yo Filly · 8-13
Cabourg · Prix De Glanville - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |