11
Nebeline Leman
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Darnetal - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |