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9

Nessy D'ar

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Darnetal - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Caen 19/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 019/036C0 @ Graignes 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/04C?5 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 022/0855 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04/095projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes54th4th0
2026-08-22Saint Galmier52nd2nd0
2026-04-28Graignes?7th7th0
2026-03-19Caen611th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0328/0422/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/202611th25/10%17%+0.17
28/04/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
22/08/20262nd20/10%91%+0.91
04/09/20264th40/10%73%+0.73