4
Nounassima
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Darnetal - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -37.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |