8
Nymphadora Tonks
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Darnetal - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-26 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
Delivery trend -34.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |