5
Nymphe De Fleur
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Darnetal - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 18/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |