1
Marco Du Verger
4yo Gelding · 8-13
Cabourg · Prix Victor Hunger - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graignes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |