16
Martin De Rego
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix Victor Hunger - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-05 | Les Sables | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +65.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |