3
Matuvu
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix Victor Hunger - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |