15
Memphis Paris
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix Victor Hunger - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 30/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |