14

Mille Dollars

4yo Colt · 9-13

Cabourg · Prix Victor Hunger - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 13023/03C?C0 @ Graignes 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1306/05C?C0 @ Les Sables 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1392/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13928/07C?6 @ Lisieux 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 13929/086projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Vire?0
2026-08-29Lisieux63rd3rd0
2026-07-28Cabourg?4th4th0
2026-06-02Les Sables?8th8th0
2026-05-06Graignes?7th7th0
2026-03-23Le Croise-Laroche?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/036/052/0628/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
06/05/20267th33/10%60%+0.60
02/06/20268th66/10%46%+0.46
28/07/20264th33/10%80%+0.80
29/08/20263rd4/179%85%+0.06