12

Mondial

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Cabourg · Prix Victor Hunger - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1397/07C?6 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 13916/076C0 @ Cabourg 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1391/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel63rd3rd0
2026-07-07Cabourg?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0716/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend -14.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20265th33/10%64%+0.64
16/07/20263rd7/163%80%+0.17
01/09/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35