10

N'oublie Pas
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Dives - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |