6
Nefert D'alesa
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Dives - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |