7
Nightmare
3yo Colt · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Dives - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -16.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |