4
Noble Diable Mef
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Dives - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |