2

Nowak Bonbon

3yo Colt · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Dives - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 07/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Craon?0
2026-08-07Cabourg?6th6th0
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/077/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -49.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20262nd80/10%92%+0.92
07/08/20266th16/116%58%+0.43