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10

Melviana

4yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'annebecq - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 018/12C?6 @ Nantes 12/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 012/0165 @ Vincennes 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 030/015C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/02C?C0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-28Vincennes?0
2026-03-17Enghien?8th8th0
2026-02-25Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-01-30Vincennes51st1st0
2026-01-12Nantes61st2nd−1
2025-12-18Meslay Du Maine?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1212/0130/0125/0217/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/202510th40/10%40%+0.40
12/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
30/01/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
25/02/20263rd15/890%83%-0.07
17/03/20268th16/116%46%+0.30