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14

Metallica Smart

4yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'annebecq - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 20/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Graignes 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/12C?5 @ Vincennes 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/0155 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/025C0 @ Enghien 24/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 024/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 05/05C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-05Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-03-24Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-02-27Vincennes52nd2nd0
2026-01-17Vincennes51st1st0
2025-12-12Graignes?1st1st0
2025-09-20Vichy?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0912/1217/0127/0224/035/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20256th13/266%55%-0.11
12/12/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
17/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
27/02/20262nd9/488%92%+0.04
24/03/20263rd5/174%87%+0.13
05/05/20262nd2/189%89%-0.01