9
Molly White
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'annebecq - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 1 | +4 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 04/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |