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3

Melo Du Locheur

4yo Colt · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Conde-sur-noireau - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/0566 @ Nancy 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 026/0665 @ Pornichet 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 027/085C0 @ Cabourg 16/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 016/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Cabourg?10th10th0
2026-08-27Pornichet56th6th0
2026-06-26Nancy64th5th−1
2026-05-08La Capelle65th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0526/0627/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -16.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20265th33/10%69%+0.69
26/06/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
27/08/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
16/09/202610th22/10%25%+0.25