9
Mickey De Crennes
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Conde-sur-noireau - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |