5
Mon Roi
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Conde-sur-noireau - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Argentan | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 16/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |