4

Ladiva De Paris

5yo Filly · 9-13

Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 29/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13429/08C?C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 134C0 @ Cabourg 02/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1342/10C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 15/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y 0C0 @ Laval 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/02C?6 @ Reims 14/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 13915/04C?6 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13925/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2026-07-25Le Mans63rd3rd0
2026-04-15Reims?5th5th0
2026-03-14Reims66th6th0
2026-02-04Laval?6th6th0
2026-01-20Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0815/1215/0425/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20254th18/15%73%+0.67
17/09/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
02/10/20252nd15/261%94%+0.34
15/12/20256th20/10%62%+0.62
04/02/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
14/03/20266th20/10%62%+0.62
15/04/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
25/07/20263rd40/10%78%+0.78
25/08/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62