9
Lariana Cleville
5yo Filly · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 01/07/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 18/08/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 16/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |