8

Lemilie Saint Bar

5yo Filly · 9-13

Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 13911/05C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 07/06C?6 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 1392/076projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Lisieux61st1st0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?7th7th0
2026-05-11Argentan?5th5th0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/057/062/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20265th66/10%69%+0.69
07/06/20267th50/10%50%+0.50
02/07/20261st40/10%100%+1.00